Weekly Security Update
By Gary Sandiford, Olive Group’s Dubai based assessments manager. Olive Group is a leading provider of security and technology solutions and has operated continuously in Iraq since 2003.
Olive Groups Iraq statistics are drawn from multiple sources, including media reporting and direct liaison with in country assets. Included within the statistics are a minority sub-set of serious incidents which may not be purely attributable to insurgent/terrorist groups, such as murder, kidnappings and organised crime activities.
The total reported incidents in Iraq for the period 20-26 August 2012 was 114. This is significantly lower than last week’s figure of 165, and a return to figures more closely aligned with the 2012 weekly average of 110. With the exception of the South Central Region, which saw a slight increase, all other regions saw falls in figures, with particular reductions in the North and North Central Regions. These reductions may be a product of increased ISF activity, particularly in the North Central Region, causing at least some short term disruption to attacks. Alternatively, it may be a deliberate choice by extremists to reduce operational momentum – a traditional trend following Ramadan. Of equal note was the reduction in the number of larger scale attacks. In contrast to the last few reporting periods, just four vehicle-bomb (VBIED) incidents were reported, three of which were finds, with only one detonation causing no casualties (possibly a misreported controlled detonation). A much higher prevalence of small arms fire (SAF) activity was reported, especially in Baghdad.